NASCAR Richmond 2022 odds: Stunning Toyota House owners 400 picks, predictions by mannequin that referred to as Larson’s wins

Final 12 months, Austin Dillon led one lap on the Toyota House owners 400, however he nonetheless salvaged a top-10 end. For the reason that begin of this season, he has been up-and-down, however he climbed from twenty first to a top-10 end final weekend in Austin. Can Dillon put it collectively for a second consecutive week for NASCAR at Richmond and the 2022 Toyota House owners 400? Dillon’s finest efficiency at any quick monitor in current reminiscence got here within the 2020 on the Federated Auto Components 400 at Richmond Raceway.

Is Dillon value playing on when the NASCAR Richmond inexperienced flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET? Earlier than scouring the 2022 Toyota House owners 400 beginning lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Richmond predictions, remember to see the newest 2022 Toyota House owners 400 picks from SportsLine’s confirmed projection mannequin.

Developed by day by day Fantasy professional and SportsLine predictive knowledge engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction mannequin simulates each race 10,000 instances, making an allowance for components resembling monitor historical past and up to date outcomes.

Within the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a robust 3-1 payout. Then it referred to as Chase Elliott to win at Street America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s mannequin additionally referred to as Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks earlier than nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to say the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In whole, it nailed 5 of Larson’s wins throughout a historic season and has additionally gone 10-5 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start out the 2022 season. Then final week it was excessive on Ross Chastain to win, giving him a much better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. Anybody who adopted its lead on these performs noticed large returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now, the mannequin simulated the 2022 NASCAR Richmond race 10,000 instances. Head to SportsLine to see the entire projected 2022 Toyota House owners 400 leaderboard.

High 2022 Toyota House owners 400 predictions

One shock: the mannequin is excessive on Tyler Reddick, despite the fact that he is a 15-1 lengthy shot within the newest 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He is a goal for anybody in search of an enormous payday. Reddick got here again from a crash in Atlanta to start out fourth on the Circuit of the Americas and remained aggressive for a fifth-place end. For the season, Reddick is tied with Chase Elliott for fourth in quickest laps with 60. Reddick has additionally been aggressive all through races the 12 months and has a plus-46 move differential, which ought to profit him on a Richmond monitor that solely options restricted straightaways all through.

And an enormous shocker: Kyle Larson, the Vegas favourite at 6-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the highest 5. There are much better values on this 2022 Toyota House owners 400 beginning grid. Larson is coming off a historic 10-win season during which he received his first NASCAR championship and has already collected a win in 2022, nevertheless it’s been a rollercoaster season for the 29-year-old.

He completed thirty second on the Daytona 500 earlier than profitable at Fontana and ending second in Las Vegas. However in his final three races, Larson has completed twenty ninth or worse and fallen all the way in which again to sixteenth within the NASCAR standings. Larson scored a win at Richmond in 2017, however has completed outdoors the highest 10 in eight of his 14 profession begins at Richmond Raceway in a Cup automotive. He is solely led laps in certainly one of his final six begins there.

Methods to make 2022 NASCAR Richmond picks

The mannequin can be focusing on two different drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 15-1 or longer to make a critical run on the checkered flag. Anybody who backs these drivers might hit it huge. You may see the entire mannequin’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Toyota House owners 400 2022? And which lengthy photographs make a run on the checkered flag? Try the newest 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds under, then go to SportsLine now to see the total projected 2022 Toyota House owners 400 leaderboard, all from the mannequin that accurately predicted 5 of Kyle Larson’s wins final season. 

2022 Toyota House owners 400 odds

Kyle Larson 6-1
Chase Elliott 15-2
Denny Hamlin 17-2
Kyle Busch 17-2
Martin Truex Jr. 17-2
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Tyler Reddick 15-1
Christopher Bell 17-1
Chase Briscoe 18-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
Brad Keselowski 40-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Austin Dillon 50-1
Kurt Busch 50-1
Erik Jones 75-1
Cole Custer 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1
Bubba Wallace 150-1
A.J. Allmendinger 150-1
Chris Buescher 250-1
Harrison Burton 250-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
Greg Biffle 1000-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 1500-1
Landon Cassill 2000-1
Andy Lally 2500-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1